2018棋牌

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                        1. 您的位置:2018棋牌 > 商学院 >

                          世界央行年会召开在即 下一步加息还是QE4 ?

                          2014-08-28 10:01:43 来源:第一财经日报

                          2018棋牌BEIJINGSHIJIAN8YUE28-29RI,MEILIANCHUJackson HoleSHIJIEYANGXINGNIANHUIJIANGLAKAIWEIMU。JINGUANMEILIANCHUZHUXIYELUN(Janet Yellen)JIANGQUEXIHUIYI,DANMEILIANCHUFUZHUXIFEIXIER(Stanley Fischer)JIANGFUHUI。ZAIYIPIANMIMANGZHONG,TOUZIZHEZHENGKEWANGCONGZHONGXUNZHAOJIAXISHIDIANDEZHUSIMAJI。

                          BANSUIZHEJINQIQUANQIUGUSHI、HUISHIDEJUZHEN,SHICHANGDESHENJINGZAICIBENGJIN,GUANYUMEILIANCHUJIAXISHIDIANDETAOLUNGENGJIASHOUDAOGUANZHU。

                          JINGGUO《DIYICAIJINGRIBAO》JIZHESHULIFAXIAN,DANGQIAN,GEJIEDUIMEILIANCHUJIAXIDEFENQIYIJINGDADAODINGFENG,ZHUYAOSIDAPAIBIE,FENBIESHI9YUEJIAXIPAI、10YUEJIAXIPAI、12YUEJIAXIPAI,SHENZHISHITUIXINGDISILUNLIANGHUAKUANSONGZHENGCE(QE4)PAI,TAMENDOUGEZHIYICI。

                          YUCITONGSHI,BEIJINGSHIJIAN8YUE28-29RI,MEILIANCHUJackson HoleSHIJIEYANGXINGNIANHUIJIANGLAKAIWEIMU。JINGUANMEILIANCHUZHUXIYELUN(Janet Yellen)JIANGQUEXIHUIYI,DANMEILIANCHUFUZHUXIFEIXIER(Stanley Fischer)JIANGFUHUI。ZAIYIPIANMIMANGZHONG,TOUZIZHEZHENGKEWANGCONGZHONGXUNZHAOJIAXISHIDIANDEZHUSIMAJI。

                          全球市场动荡加剧加息时点分歧

                          8YUE24RI,YEJIJI“HEISEXINGQIYI”,QUANQIUSHICHANGBODONGDADAOKONGQIANGAODU。SHANGZHENGZONGZHIDIE8.49%,BIAOPUDIE3.94%,DAOZHIDIE3.58%;ZHONGGAIGUGENGSHICHUANGXIA4DANIANZUIDADIEFU,SHOUPANXIADIE5.7%,PANZHONGYIDUZHONGCUO12.3%; MALAIXIYA、YINDU、TAIGUO、RIBENDENGDIGUSHIPUBIANXIACUO。

                          8YUE25RI,ZHONGGUOYANGXINGJICHU“SHUANGJIANG”DAZHAO,SHUNJIANQUANQIUGUSHIDAZHANG——XINJIAPOFUSHIA50BIAOZHANG5.8%,BIAOPU500ZHISHUQIHUOKUODAZHANGFUZHI3.6%,DEGUODAXZHISHUYIDUSHANGZHANG4.1%,ZHONGGUOHGUZHISHUQIHUOZHANG3.9%,QIEZUOWEIBIXIANZICHANDEMEIZHAI、DEZHAISHOUYILVBIAOSHENG。BUGUO,JIEZHI8YUE26RISHOUPAN,JINGLILEQIANSANRI“KONGHUANGSHIPAOSHOU”(panic selling)DEMEIGURENGRANMEINENGZHICHENGZHUKAIPANZHANGSHI,SANDAGUZHIRENGSHOUDIE。

                          2018棋牌8YUE26RI,QUANQIUKONGHUANGQINGXUCHIXUHUANHE。JIEZHIBEIJINGSHIJIAN8YUE26RI21:20,OUGUWUPANSHOUFUSHIDI,OUZHOUSITUOKE50、DEGUO、FAGUOGUZHIDIEFUSHOUZHAIZHI0.4%YINEI,MEIGUOSANDAGUZHIKAIPANSHANGYANG,BAXI、MOXIGE、ELUOSI、YINNI、FEILVBINGUSHIFENFENSHANGZHANG。

                          JINGUANRUCI,GEJIERENGRANDUI“HEISEXINGQIYI”XINYOUYUJI,BINGRENWEIMEILIANCHUJIAXISHIDIANJIANGSHOUDAOYINGXIANG,ERDANGQIANGEJIEDEGUANDIANYECUNZAIHENDAFENQI。

                          SHOUXIANSHI9YUEJIAXIPAI。“MEILIANCHUZAI9YUEKENDINGHUIJIAXI(September is the number for sure)。” CENGWEIQUANQIUZUIDAZHAIQUANJIJINPIMCOSHOUXITOUZIGUANDE“ZHAIWANG”GELUOSI(Bill Gross)CIQIANBIAOSHI。TAZHICHU,JINGUANFOMCDEWEIYUANBINGWEIJIU9YUEJIAXIDACHENGYIZHIGONGSHI(not unanimous),DANZHEIYIJINGSHIDUOSHUYIJIAN(majority opinion)。GELUOSIRENWEI,9YUEDEJIAXIFUDUKENENGSHI25-50GEJIDIAN。

                          RUIYINSHOUXITOUZICELVESHIKelvin TayYEGAOSU《DIYICAIJINGRIBAO》,MEILIANCHU9YUEJIAXIDEKENENGXINGBUNENGPAICHU,NIANNEIJIAXIJILVDA,ZHIYAOKANYIXIAMEIGUODEFANGDICHANSHICHANGHEJIUYELV,JIUHUIFAXIANMEIGUODEGUONEIJINGJIYIJINGFEICHANGQIANGJING,ERMEILIANCHUJIAXIZUIWEICEZHONGDEJIUSHIBENGUOJINGJI。

                          2018棋牌ZHOUER,MEIGUOSHANGWUBURENKOUPUCHAJU(US Census Bureau)GONGBUSHUJUXIANSHI,MEIGUO7YUEXINWUXIAOSHOUNIANHUA50.7WANHU,HUANBISHANGZHANG5.4%,ZHISHILVEDIYUYUQIDE5.8%;SHANGZHOU,QUANMEIFANGDICHANJINGJIRENXIEHUI(NAR)GONGBUSHUJUXIANSHI,MEIGUO7YUECHENGWUXIAOSHOUZONGSHUHUANBISHANGZHANG2.0%,XIAOSHOUZONGSHUNIANHUA559WANHU,CHUANGXIA2007NIAN2YUEYILAIXINGAO。

                          2018棋牌GENGLINGRENCHAYIDESHI,CIQIANCONGWEIBEITIJIDE“10YUEJIAXI”YESHENGSHIJIANZHANG。JIANADAMENGTELIERYINXINGWAIHUICELVEFUZERENGreg AndersonZEXIANGPENGBOBIAOSHI,10YUEJIAXISHIYIZHONGKENENG,YINWEISHICHANGMUQIANDONGDANGBUAN,9YUEJIAXIGUOKUAI。

                          GENJUPENGBODUIJIAOYISHANGDEDIAOCHA,MEILIANCHU9YUEJIAXIDEGAILVWEI28%,10YUEJIAXIDEGAILVSHANGSHENGZHI34%,12YUEJIAXIDEGAILVSHENGWEI51%。

                          (TUSHUO:PENGBODUIJIAXISHIDIANSUOZUODEYUCE,9YUE、10YUEHE12YUEDEYUQIFENBIEWEI28%、33.8%HE49.7%)

                          CIQIANYEYOUNIUJIAOSUOJIAOYIYUANDUI《DIYICAIJINGRIBAO》BIAOSHI,YOUYU9YUEHE12YUEDELIANBANGGONGKAISHICHANGWEIYUANHUI(FOMCHOU)JIANGYOUXINWENFABUHUI,ER10YUEFENHUIYIHOUMEIYOU,YINCISHICHANGYERENWEIMEILIANCHUBUHUIZAI10YUECAIQUXINGDONG。MEILIANCHUJINNIANHAISHENG9YUE、10YUEHE12YUESANCIHUIYI。

                          DANGRAN,GENGWEILINGRENZHENJINGDEHAIYOU“QE4PAI”。MEIGUOQIANRENCAIZHANGSAMOSI(Lawrence Summers)JIUSHIZUIXINDEDAIBIAO。TARENWEI,MEILIANCHUYINGGAIWUXIANQIDIGEZHIJIAXI。

                          SHANGZHOU,SAMOSIBIAOSHI,“GENJUDUIDANGQIANJINGJIXINGSHIDEHELIPINGGU,RUGUOMEILIANCHUZAIJINQIKAISHIJIAXI,JIANGHUIFANXIAYIGEYANZHONGDECUOWU。MEILIANCHUDESANGEZHUYAOZHENGCEMUBIAO:WENDINGWUJIA、CHONGFENJIUYE、WEICHIJINRONGSHICHANGZHIXU,JIANGSHOUDAOYANZHONGWEIXIE。”

                          QUANQIUZUIDADUICHONGJIJINQIAOSHUI(Bridgewater)JIJINCHUANGSHIRENRay DalioYERENWEIMEILIANCHUZHENGZAIKAIQIXIAYILUNQEDEBIANYUAN。

                          “MEILIANCHUJIANGTONGGUOXINYILUNDELIANGHUAKUANSONGJIXUTIGAOLIUDONGXING,ERFEIKAISHIJINSUO”,Ray DalioZAIJIKEHUDEJIANBAOZHONGXIEDAO。TAZHICHUDANGQIANSHICHANGMIANLINDEZHUYAOFENGXIANLAIZIYUTONGSUOERFEITONGZHANG。

                          2018棋牌BUGUOJIAOWEIKENDINGDESHI,JIUBENBAOJIZHECONGDUOFANGZHUANJIACHULEJIEDAO,CONGMEILIANCHUDEXINYONG、DULIXINGERYAN,ZAIDUZHONGQIQEDEKENENGXINGJIHUKEYIPAICHU,ZHONGDIANZAIYUHESHIJIAXIYIJIJIAXIHOUDELUJINGYIJIQIYINGXIANG。

                          ZHOUWU,ZHUTIWEI“TONGZHANGDONGTAIYUHUOBIZHENGCE”DEJIEKEXUNHUOERQUANQIUYANGXINGHUIYIZHAOKAIZAIJI,FEIXIERDEJIANGHUAYEBEISHOUQIDAI,ZHEIYEHUOXUSHICITANMEILIANCHUJIAXIYITUDEZUIJIACHANGHE。CIWAI,YINGGUOYANGXINGXINGZHANGKANI、ECBFUZONGCAIVitor ConstancioYIJIYINDUYANGXINGXINGZHANGRaghuram RajanDOUHUIFUHUI。

                          美股、新兴市场再掀波澜?

                          SUIZHEJIAXISHIDIANDELINJIN,SHICHANGDUIYUMEIGUYIJIXINXINGSHICHANGDEZOUSHIGEWAIGUANZHU。

                          JIUMEIGUERYAN,ZISHANGZHOUWUKAISHI,“KONGHUANGSHIPAOSHOU”BIANYINMAIBUSAN。BUGUO,GENJUBENBAOJIZHECONGDUOFANGFENXISHICHUHUOXI,MEIGUOSANDAGUZHIZIQEKAIQIZHISHIBIANCHIXUSHANGYANG,ZHANGFUGAODA3BEI,JIHUMEIYOUCHUXIANGUOMINGXIANHUIDIAO,ERMEIGUKENENGYIJINGYINQETOUZHILEWEILAIDEZENGZHANGKONGJIAN,WAIJIAQIYEYINGLIJIANDING,YINCIBENCIBODONGSHIZHENGCHANGHUIDIAO,ZHISHIZAIZHONGGUOHEXINXINGSHICHANGDEYINGXIANGXIAFUDUGUODA。

                          Kelvin TayGAOSUJIZHE,DAZONGSHANGPINJIAGEXIACUOZHEIYIYINSUDUIMEIGUOZONGTIBULI。“ZHIYAOKANYIYANBIAOPU500ZHISHU,YUEYOU15%DEQIYEWEIKEJIQIYE,ERKEJIQIYE30%DESHOURUSHIYIWAIBIJIJIA,KEJIANMEIYUANQIANGSHIDUIZHEIXIEQIYESHILIKONGDE;12%QIYEYOUSHIYUDAZONGSHANGPINHEYUANYOUJIAXIANGGUANDEQIYE。”

                          ZHEIYANGYILAI,GUANGSHIBIAOPU500ZHISHUZHONG,YUMEIYUANHEDAZONGSHANGPINZHEILIANGDALIKONGYINSUMIQIEXIANGGUANDEQIYEJIUZHANLESANFENZHIYI,YINCIBIAOPU500ZHISHUWEIMIBUZHENYESHIYOULIKEYIDE。

                          DUIYUXINXINGSHICHANGERYAN,SHANGZHOUDEBODONGYIJINGRANG“YAZHOUJINRONGWEIJILAIXI”DEYUQISHENGWEN,ERJIAXISHIFOUHUIZAIDUXIANQIFENGBAO?

                          2018棋牌Kelvin TayBIAOSHI,DANGQIANXINXINGSHICHANGGUOJIADEWAIZHAIYIJINGDAFUSHOUSUO,YINCIBENBIBIANZHISUOZAOCHENGDELIANSUOFANYINGJIANGJINYIBUJIANHUAN。

                          2018棋牌CIWAI,MEIYINMEILINYEZAIBAOGAOZHONGBIAOSHI,YU1997NIANBUTONG,MUQIANGEGUORENGYOUZHENGCEKONGJIANCIJIJINGJI。BAOGAOCHENG,YAZHOUGUOJIAZHENGFUZICHANFUZHAIBIAODUIWAIBIJIEDAIDEYILAIHENSHAO,QIEBENSHENYIJIANLILELIUDONGXINGGAODEBENDIZHAIQUANSHICHANG,TIGONG"HOUBEIZHENGCE"YUJIEDAIJIRONGZI。CIWAI,YAZHOUQURENGYOUCHONGYUDEJIANXIKONGJIAN。

                          ZUIHOU,1997NIANYAZHOUJINRONGFENGBAOZHISUOYIEHUA,BUFENYUANYINSHIGUOJIHUOBIJIJINHUI(IMF)DESHUKUNCUOSHIBAOKUOYAOQIUGUANBITIZHIQIANJIADEYINXING,CIJUBEIZHIJIASULEQUNEIXINDAIJINSUO。RANER,ZHONGGUO、YINDU、HANGUOJITAIGUORENGKENENGZAIJINNIANDIQIANJIANGXI,ERYAZHOUQUJINRONGJIGOUJIZHONGYANGYINXINGYEYOUGENGJIADEZHUNBEIYIJIZIBENYINGDUIQIANMIANDETIAOZHAN。

                          2018棋牌CIWAI,YECUNZHENGQUANYEZAIJINQIBAOGAOZHONGYUCE,CICIMEILIANCHUJIAXIDEFUDUHECISHUJIANGYUANYUANXIAOYUWANGNIAN,KENENGJIEZHI2017NIANRENGWEICHIZAI3%ZUOYOUDESHUIPING。RANER,LIRU1994-95NIAN,MEILIANCHUZAI12GEYUENEIZONGJIJIAXI300GEJIDIANZHI6%;2004-06NIAN,MEILIANCHUZONGJIJIAXI425GEJIDIANZHI5.25%。SHANGSHUJULIEDEJIAXIFUDUYEZAIDANGNIANZAOCHENGSHICHANGJULIEBODONG,YEBEIRENWEISHIZAOCHENGYAZHOUJINRONGWEIJIDEYUANTOU。

                          2018棋牌(TUSHUO:HONGXIANHEHEIXIANDAIBIAOLICIMEILIANCHUJIAXILUJING,LANXIANDAIBIAOYECUNZHENGQUANDUICICIJIAXILUJINGDEYUCE)

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